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Avalo Therapeutics ‘Represents An Enticing Pure-Play,’ Analyst Initiates Protection With Over 300% Inventory Upside – Avalo Therapeutics (NASDAQ:AVTX)

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On Monday, Stifel initiated protection on Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. AVTX. Avalo’s lead asset is AVTX-009, an anti-IL-1β mAb focusing on inflammatory illnesses.

The corporate initiated a Part 2 LOTUS trial, which can embody roughly 180 adults with hidradenitis suppurativa (HS), to guage the efficacy and security of subcutaneous bi-weekly and month-to-month dosing regimens in comparison with placebo. Topline information is predicted in 2026.

Avalo continues to guage AVTX-009 for extra immune-mediated illnesses with plans to announce a second indication.

Analyst Alex Thompson writes that the next proof-of-concept information in HS from AbbVie Inc’s ABBV lebrikizumab, an IL-1α/β bispecific success for AVTX-009, is very de-risked given the robust proof suggesting that IL-1β blockade represents the important thing driver of efficacy for Lutikizumab.

In January 2024, AbbVie’s Part 2 outcomes confirmed that adults with reasonable to extreme hidradenitis suppurativa (HS) who had beforehand failed anti-TNF remedy who obtained lutikizumab (ABT-981) 300 mg each different week or 300 mg weekly achieved larger response charges (59.5% nominal p=0.027 and 48.7%, nominal p=0.197, respectively) than placebo (35%).

Stifel writes that AVTX-009 can obtain comparable efficacy to lutikizumab albeit with the potential for superior dosing (Q4W vs. Q2W), equating to a significant minority share throughout the rising HS market yielding over $2 billion drug within the US alone amid important strategic curiosity within the area.

Stifel has initiated with a Purchase ranking and a value goal of $36.

“Bottomline we expect AVTX represents a beautiful HS pure-play with a positive risk-reward heading into topline Ph2 information within the 2026 timeframe. Sturdy exterior HS newsflow over the subsequent 12 months gives an extra tailwind,” Stifel analyst writes.

Money and money equivalents had been $134.5 million as of December 31, 2024. The corporate’s present money readily available is predicted to fund operations into no less than 2027.

Value Motion: AVTX inventory is up 15.5% at $8.81 on the final test Tuesday.

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