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Biden’s Farewell To Africa: Strategic Motives Behind First And Solely Presidential Go to – Barrick Gold (NYSE:GOLD), First Quantum Minerals (OTC:FQVLF)

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After a hurricane-related postponement, President Joe Biden will go to Angola in December, marking his first and final journey to the African continent within the closing week of his tenure. Angola, a rustic with a posh historical past tied to the US and its Chilly Conflict adversaries, is now on the forefront of recent alternatives for collaboration, significantly in infrastructure growth and important mineral provide chains.

A Shifting International Coverage

Throughout the Chilly Conflict, Angola was a hotspot for proxy battles between the Soviet Union and the US. Angola’s civil struggle, which raged from 1975 to 2002, noticed the Soviet Union, Cuba, and China assist the ruling MPLA (Individuals’s Motion for the Liberation of Angola), whereas the U.S. backed anti-communist insurgent teams. Regardless of being on reverse sides, U.S. oil firms continued working in Angola, exporting oil to Europe whereas geopolitical tensions endured.

Because the finish of the civil struggle, Angola has maintained a comparatively steady authorities beneath the MPLA, and the U.S. established formal diplomatic relations in 1993. Through the years, the connection between the 2 international locations has grown, though Angola’s main financial ties have shifted in direction of China and Russia.

Nevertheless, following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Angola’s abstention from the United Nations vote and subsequent vote in opposition to Russia signaled a extra unbiased overseas coverage—one that might align with Western pursuits and counterbalance China’s and Russia’s affect on the continent.

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The Lobito Hall

Lobito Hall is a vital infrastructure mission and certain the point of interest of Biden’s go to. This hall, which incorporates the Benguela Railway, connects Angola’s Lobito port to the mineral-rich areas of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and Zambia. By upgrading this route, the U.S. sees a possibility to facilitate the export of vital minerals, particularly copper and cobalt, important for the worldwide electrical car (EV) transition and renewable power applied sciences.

Moreover, Canadian Ivanhoe Mines IVAPF was granted a license to probe for copper in Angola only a yr in the past, exhibiting the rising Western curiosity on this nation wealthy in manganese, uranium, zinc, wolfram, and, significantly, diamonds.

The Wealthy Neighborhood

The Lobito Hall additionally advantages neighboring Zambia, which boasts 94 lively mining initiatives, together with KoBold Metals‘ largest copper discovery within the nation’s historical past. Copper is a vital useful resource for electronics, renewable power, and EV batteries, and Zambians understand it. They plan to boost their medium-term copper manufacturing to 1 million tons per yr.

Traditionally, Zambia has confronted infrastructure bottlenecks which have constrained its mining potential. By leveraging the Lobito Hall, Zambia might considerably increase its copper exports to international markets, particularly as U.S. allies comparable to Saudi Arabia have not too long ago invested in Zambian copper belongings, together with First Quantum’s FQVLF Kansanshi and Sentinel copper mines. Moreover, Barrick Gold’s GOLD Lumwana copper mine in Zambia is without doubt one of the nation’s main copper producers, additional highlighting the potential financial increase the Lobito Hall might present.

Countering China’s Affect

For Angola, which is closely indebted to China, this infrastructure mission represents a possibility to diversify its financial partnerships. China is Angola’s largest buying and selling accomplice, primarily pushed by oil exports. But, U.S. investments in initiatives just like the Lobito Hall might shift the nation’s financial focus towards the West, decreasing its dependence on Chinese language loans and infrastructure growth.

President Biden’s go to, subsequently, comes at a vital time. His journey opens a path to vital African commodities, countering China’s Belt and Highway initiative by offering a sooner, extra environment friendly path to Europe and the U.S., bypassing the Indian Ocean, and strengthening commerce ties with Western markets.

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Photograph: Shutterstock

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