EMERGING MARKETS-Asian currencies, stocks fall as Fed speakers caution on rates

Date:

By Harish Sridharan

Feb 9 (Reuters)Stocks and currencies in Asia’s emerging markets slipped on Thursday, as risk sentiment was dampened by U.S. Federal Reserve speakers echoing Chair Jerome Powell’s rhetoric on higher interest rates for longer.

Shares in Manila .PSI, Singapore .STI and Kuala Lumpur .KLSE were down between 0.3% and 1%. Equities in Taipei .TWII and Mumbai .NSEI also fell.

Stocks in Shanghai .SSEC, on the other hand, bucked the trend as jitters around the spy balloon incident abated, and some analysts upgraded growth forecasts for the world’s second-largest economy.

Cautious sentiment prevailed overnight on Wall Street after Fed officials said more interest rate rises were on the cards.

Fed Governor Christopher Waller said the U.S. central bank’s battle to reach its 2% inflation target “might be a long fight“.

New York Fed President John Williams said moving to a federal funds rate of between 5.00% and 5.25% “seems a very reasonable view of what we’ll need to do this year in order to get the supply and demand imbalances down.”

Asian shares had begun 2023 on firmer footing, thanks to China dismantling its zero-COVID curbs in late 2022. Also helping lift sentiment were investors betting the Fed was reaching the end of its policy tightening cycle.

Shares have, however, lost steam in the past couple of weeks on lingering inflationary pressures and worries over higher rates.

“The cautious sentiment that we see in the Asian markets reflects continued concerns about the Fed,” said Irene Cheung, senior Asia strategist at ANZ in Singapore.

“Most of the moves are quite small right now and I expect that to continue in the run-up to (U.S.) CPI data next Tuesday.”

Currencies in the region also edged lower.

Thailand’s baht THB=TH depreciated 0.3%, with higher oil prices also weighing on the currency, the best performing in Asia this year.

The ringgit MYR= was down 0.2%. Malaysia is scheduled to publish gross domestic product (GDP) data for the fourth quarter on Friday.

A survey conducted by Reuters found that Malaysia’s economic growth had likely slowed by more than half to 6.6% in the fourth quarter of 2022 due to tepid consumption and softer global demand.

The Chinese yuan CNY=CFXS ticked up 0.2%, supported by signs of tightness in money markets and expectations that data would show robust credit growth. CNY/

The Indian rupee INR=IN weakened 0.1% a day after the Reserve Bank of India delivered an expected 25 basis points rate hike and left the door open to more tightening.

HIGHLIGHTS

** Yield on Indonesia’s 10-year note ID10YT=RR falls 7 bps to 6.636%

** Malaysia Q4 GDP growth expected to have slowed to 6.6% – Reuters poll

** Biden, asked if relations with China have taken a big hit, says no; China shares up 0.6%

Asia stock indexes and currencies at 0632 GMT

COUNTRY

FX RIC

FX DAILY %

FX YTD %

INDEX

STOCKS DAILY %

STOCKS YTD %

Japan

JPY=

+0.08

-0.11

.N225

-0.08

5.71

China

CNY=CFXS

+0.16

+1.72

.SSEC

1.10

5.78

India

INR=IN

-0.13

+0.14

.NSEI

-0.06

-1.35

Indonesia

IDR=

-0.19

+2.92

.JKSE

0.13

1.44

Malaysia

MYR=

-0.19

+2.21

.KLSE

-0.26

-1.91

Philippines

PHP=

+0.24

+1.87

.PSI

-1.01

4.37

S.Korea

KRW=KFTC

-0.02

+0.33

.KS11

-0.08

10.96

Singapore

SGD=

+0.15

+1.20

.STI

-0.77

3.42

Taiwan

TWD=TP

-0.05

+2.10

.TWII

-0.12

10.33

Thailand

THB=TH

-0.21

+3.13

.SETI

-0.36

-0.25

Graphic: World FX rates

Asian stock markets

(Reporting by Harish Sridharan in Bengaluru; editing by Eileen Soreng)

(([email protected]; Twitter: https://twitter.com/damnit_saladin;))

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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