Monitoring functions; Lengthy SPX on 10-29-24 at 5832.92
Our Acquire 1/1/23 to 12/31/23 SPX= 28.12%; SPX achieve 23.38%
Monitoring functions : Lengthy on 10/9/20 at 40.78.
We’re up 31.40%; SPX is up 25.7% thus far this yr. The highest window is the / ratio. We famous in shaded inexperienced the place each the ratio and SPY are making larger highs (bullish) and famous in shade pink the place the ratio is making decrease highs as SPY is making larger highs (bearish). At the moment, the ratio is making larger highs suggesting in some unspecified time in the future the SPY will make larger highs.
The underside window is the quantity for the SPY. The inexperienced quantity reveals the SPY was up that day. Discover that going into Monday the SPY was up 5 days in a row which predicts SPY can be larger inside 5 days 73% of the time. Lengthy SPX on 10/29/24 at 5832.92.
Above is the weekly SPX with its Bollinger band and the weekly is within the backside window; subsequent excessive window is the SPX/VIX ratio. Bullish indicators are current for the SPX when the SPX makes larger highs together with the SPX/VIX ratio (see far proper window). The underside window is the VIX.
It’s mentioned {that a} trending market happens when the VIX stays beneath 17 (the present VIX studying is 13.99). Help lies on the earlier excessive close to 585 SPY. The intermediate-term pattern is up till no less than yr’s finish.
Monday we confirmed the month-to-month cumulative up-down quantity for GDX with its Bollinger band and the month-to-month cumulative advance/decline for GDX with its Bollinger band. Purchase alerts have been triggered when each indicators shut above their mid Bollinger band which got here in Could 2024. Most alerts of this sort final 1 ½ years or longer. We up to date the shorter-term view for GDX on Thursday suggesting a low was close to (see yesterday’s report).
Above is one other bullish sign for GDX within the quick time period. The second window down from the highest is the each day inflation/deflation ratio with its RSI within the high window. Bullish alerts for GDX are triggered when the RSI nears 30 and turns up (present studying is 31.13). We famous in shaded inexperienced on the inflation/deflation ratio graph the occasions when this ratio reached .14 which seems to be a triple backside. This chart offers one other clue that GDX is making a low on this space.
