Wall Avenue provided a stable efficiency previously three months. The S&P 500-based exchange-traded fund (ETF) SPY added 4%, QQQ returned 7% and DIA added 1.8% previously three months (as of Jan. 7, 2025).
In early December, the S&P 500 reached 6,100 for the primary time, whereas the tech-focused Nasdaq surpassed the 20,000-mark. The Dow Jones additionally hit a historic milestone, crossing 45,000 earlier than experiencing a pointy decline.
Notably, the Dow Jones recorded its worst dropping streak in almost 50 years, dropping 5.3% throughout December. Fed price cuts, optimism round company development beneath President-elect Donald Trump, and a resurgence in tech shares had been key drivers of the market’s upward momentum.
Expectations from a Second Trump Administration
The market anticipates {that a} second Trump administration will assist inventory development by way of its market-friendly insurance policies. Proposals to limit unlawful immigration, impose new tariffs, decrease taxes, and scale back laws are anticipated to stimulate financial exercise. Nevertheless, these insurance policies may additionally speed up inflation, probably constraining the Fed’s capability to additional scale back rates of interest.
Federal Reserve’s Stance on Fee Cuts
Amid a sturdy labor market and chronic inflation, the Fed tasks solely two price cuts in 2025, down from the 4 anticipated in September. This cautious method displays the central financial institution’s balancing act to keep up financial stability. Decrease rates of interest usually scale back borrowing prices, enabling companies to develop operations extra simply. This enhanced profitability drives financial development and offers a big increase to the inventory market.
Profitable Sectors of the Previous Three Months
In opposition to the above-mentioned backdrop, under we spotlight the profitable sectors over the previous three months and their high ETFs (the average three-month data are as per etfdb).
Client Discretionary – Common three-month return 14.21%
Roundhill Video Video games ETF NERD has garnered 15.73% on this class. The worldwide video games market is projected to develop to a formidable $211 billion by 2025, as quoted on roundhillinvestments.com. Since 2020, over 12 out of 17 mega offers within the gaming business have been valued at over $1 billion. The underlying Nasdaq CTA World Video Video games Software program Index of the ETF NERD tracks the efficiency of exchange-listed firms engaged in online game publishing and online game growth. The ETF costs 50 bps in charges and yields 1.68% yearly.
Financials – Common three-month return 8.40%
Amplify Digital Funds ETF IPAY added 14.7% within the class. World cellular fee market dimension was valued at $2.98 trillion in 2023 and is projected to develop from $3.84 trillion in 2024 to $27.81 trillion by 2032, a CAGR of 28.1%, as quoted on amplifyetfs.com.
The underlying Nasdaq CTA World Digital Funds Index tracks the efficiency of widespread shares of firms inside one of many following Cellular Funds Firms community of Card Networks, Infrastructure & Software program, Processors and Options. The ETF costs 75 bps in charges and yields 0.75% yearly.
Telecom – Common three-month return 7.0%
Defiance Connective Applied sciences ETF SIXG added about 12.4% on this class. The underlying BlueStar Connective Applied sciences Index is a thematic index monitoring the efficiency of US-listed firms providing {hardware}, software program, or companies to the rollout of 5G, or 6G networks, and different connective applied sciences. The ETF costs 30 bps in charges and yields 0.77% yearly.
Expertise – Common three-month return 6.4%
VanEck Digital Transformation ETF DAPP surged 42.6% previously three month, gaining the tag of the top-performer of this class. The DAPP ETF is the clear beneficiary of the Bitcoin rally. The underlying MVIS World Digital Property Fairness Index is a guidelines based mostly, modified capitalization weighted, float adjusted index meant to provide buyers a method of monitoring the general efficiency of the worldwide digital asset phase. The ETF costs 51 bps in charges and yields 3.39% yearly (learn: MicroStrategy to Join Nasdaq-100: Tap MSTR ETFs).
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Invesco QQQ (QQQ): ETF Research Reports
SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY): ETF Research Reports
SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA): ETF Research Reports
Amplify Digital Payments ETF (IPAY): ETF Research Reports
Roundhill Video Games ETF (NERD): ETF Research Reports
VanEck Digital Transformation ETF (DAPP): ETF Research Reports
Defiance Connective Technologies ETF (SIXG): ETF Research Reports
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the writer and don’t essentially mirror these of Nasdaq, Inc.